In 2023, U.S. customers can anticipate higher availability of pork, broiler meat, and turkey, however much less beef, in keeping with the most recent USDA “Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook” report.
Final week, USDA’s “World Agricultural Provide and Demand Estimates” report revealed decrease whole purple meat and poultry manufacturing is forecast for 2023 at 106.1 billion lbs., down from 106.6 billion lbs. in 2022. A big decline in beef manufacturing attributed to the decrease general quantity though the September forecast was up from the August forecast. At the moment, USDA is forecasting 2023 beef manufacturing at 26.3 billion lbs., down from 28.0 billion lbs. in 2022.
“Because the drought pushes extra calves into feedlots at a faster tempo than regular, this can possible pull feeder cattle ahead subsequent yr, lowering anticipated marketings in late 2023,” USDA economists famous within the outlook report. “Consequently, 2023 beef manufacturing forecast is barely raised by 70 million kilos to 26.3 billion kilos as larger marketings in early 2023 greater than offset fewer fed cattle anticipated for advertising later within the yr.”
Pork manufacturing in 2023, alternatively, is forecast at 27.5 billion lbs., up from 27.1 billion lbs. in 2022. Broiler and turkey manufacturing in 2023 are forecast at 45.9 billion lbs. and 52.1 billion lbs., up from 45.4 billion lbs. and 51.2 billion lbs., respectively.
Concerning consumption, USDA initiatives whole poultry disappearance to be 115.3 kilos per capita, up 1.2% within the eleventh consecutive yr of document broiler manufacturing and following the restoration of turkey manufacturing from the impression of avian influenza. Pink meat disappearance is forecast at 109.5 kilos per capita, down 1.6%, as decrease beef provides offset a rise in projected pork manufacturing.
USDA forecasts beef per capita for 2023 will decline by virtually three kilos, whereas pork is predicted to climb about one pound per particular person. Disappearance of broiler meat is projected to extend about half a pound, a slower tempo than in earlier years. Turkey is forecast to rise over one pound, the primary improve in seven years.